The bars show the average temperature in the current climate (1991-2020, Princess Juliana Airport, MDS) and for the future climate around 2050 and 2100 (KNMI 2023 scenarios). Future values are today's averages multiplied by scenario-specific percentage changes. The scenarios come from the Saba & St. Eustatius study and will be updated when St. Martin-specific data is available in late 2025. The 'low' scenario shows mild climate change and the 'high' scenario shows strong climate change. Together they give the likely range, which depends on greenhouse gas emissions and how sensitive the climate system is. The bars show average values; changes in extremes are not included.